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PAM Monthly Global Outlook - May 2010

07 May 2010

Global risk aversion up as Greek apotheosis approachesThough equity markets, boosted by positive economic data and strong earning reports, extended their rise in April, the advance was abruptly reversed as fears over a Greek debt default escalated once more, and the risk of contagion spread throughout southern Europe; European stock markets have now erased entirely their year-to-date gains.

 

 

Meanwhile, in many emerging economies, a tighter monetary stance is increasingly being seen as necessary given the mounting inflationary risks—India being the latest to move towards tightening. In an otherwise generally gloomy global outlook, the US economy continues to be one of the sole bright-spots.

 

Greece goes from bad to worse

 

Sovereign debt risk in Europe continued to dominate markets during April. Despite the agreement reached in March, that Greece would receive bilateral loans from the eurozone and IMF should it be unable to meet its debt commitments, investors remained deeply skeptical.  (...)

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